The Witcher Universe: Analyzing the Odds of Different Character Fates in the Next Installment

For fans of The Witcher, the world feels pregnant with possibility. With developer CD Projekt Red confirming that a new saga is in development, the global community has been set ablaze with speculation, theories, and fervent debate. What will this new story entail? Which characters will return, and what roles will they play? The end of The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt and its DLCs provided a sense of closure for Geralt of Rivia, but the vast, rich world created by Andrzej Sapkowski is far too compelling to be left dormant. The future is an unwritten page, and everyone has a theory about what comes next.

While we wait for official news, the global community of fans does what it does best: speculate and predict. It’s a process of weighing narrative probabilities, analyzing developer hints, and assessing character arcs—not unlike the strategic thinking found in many games of chance. The challenge of forecasting an uncertain future based on past events and available data is a universal one. Whether you’re a fan predicting a story’s direction or a player at the bruce casino calculating the odds at a card table, the core principle is the same: making an educated guess about what comes next. In that spirit, let’s break down the likelihoods of different character fates and create a speculative “betting board” for the future of the Continent.

Disclaimer: This is a purely speculative analysis for entertainment purposes, based on narrative likelihoods.

The Main Event: The Fate of Geralt of Rivia

Geralt’s story received a fitting and hard-earned end in the Blood and Wine expansion, allowing him to finally hang up his silver sword and retire. Bringing him back as the central protagonist would risk undoing that powerful conclusion, making his future role a subject of intense debate.

• Odds of being the main protagonist again: 15/1 (Long Shot). CD Projekt Red has explicitly referred to the next game as a “new saga,” strongly implying a new central character and a fresh start.
• Odds of appearing as a mentor/legendary NPC: 2/1 (Strong Favorite). This seems like the most logical and narratively satisfying path. A new, younger witcher from a different school could seek out the legendary White Wolf for guidance. This allows Geralt to be present in the world as an elder statesman without hijacking the new story.
• Odds of being mentioned only in passing: 5/1 (Contender). It’s possible the new saga will take place long after Geralt’s time, reducing him to a figure of legend mentioned in books, songs, and conversations—a ghost of witchering past.

Ultimately, the odds strongly suggest that while Geralt’s time in the spotlight is over, his wisdom and legacy will almost certainly shape the next generation, making a mentor role the most fitting and probable future for the White Wolf.

The Rising Star: Ciri’s Untraveled Path

Cirilla Fiona Elen Riannon is, in many ways, the true protagonist of the latter half of the saga. Her journey is far from over, making her the most likely candidate to take the leading role in the next chapter.

• Odds of being the main playable character: 1/1 (Even Money). This is the fan-favorite theory and makes the most narrative sense. Her abilities as a Source and her dimension-hopping powers open up limitless gameplay and story possibilities. A game centered on Ciri could explore new worlds, threats beyond the Continent, and the consequences of her immense power.
• Odds of being a co-protagonist: 3/1 (Solid Chance). The game could feature dual protagonists, perhaps allowing players to switch between Ciri and a new, more traditional witcher. This would allow for a compelling contrast between her world-altering abilities and the gritty, monster-slaying reality of a normal witcher’s life.
• Odds of her story being concluded off-screen: 50/1 (Massive Underdog). Given her central importance to the franchise’s past and future, it’s almost unthinkable that her story would not be a primary focus of the new saga.

Considering these possibilities, Ciri’s narrative arc is the most potent and unfinished in the Witcher universe. The overwhelming odds point to her taking center stage, offering a perfect blend of familiarity for existing fans and boundless potential for new adventures.

The Supporting Cast: Where Do They Fit In?

The fates of Geralt’s closest companions are intrinsically linked to his own, and their involvement would depend heavily on the time period and the protagonist of the new game.

• Yennefer of Vengerberg & Triss Merigold: If Geralt appears as a mentor, it’s highly likely one of these powerful sorceresses would be with him in retirement. Their appearance would probably be a beloved cameo rather than a major role. Odds of a significant role: 10/1.
• Dandelion (Jaskier): As the verbose and often unreliable narrator of the saga’s history, Dandelion’s presence is almost a given, at least in a narrative capacity. He could easily serve as the chronicler of the new saga, providing the framing story for the game through his ballads and memoirs. Odds of appearing as narrator/NPC: 1/2 (Heavy Favorite).

In essence, the involvement of the beloved supporting cast will likely be a case of “less is more.” Their appearances will probably be brief but meaningful cameos, serving to connect the new saga to the old without overshadowing the new protagonist’s journey, with Dandelion’s narrative voice being the most likely thread connecting the two eras.

A Speculative Betting Board for the New Witcher Saga

To summarize the most likely scenarios, the following table breaks down the key possibilities for the upcoming game. It reflects a consensus of fan theories, developer hints, and narrative logic.

This speculative board highlights the two most probable futures: a game centered on Ciri’s journey or one that introduces a completely new protagonist. Both possibilities offer exciting avenues for the franchise.

The beauty of a great fictional universe like The Witcher lies in its potential for endless stories. While this analysis provides a logical framework for what we might expect, the true joy of being a fan comes from the thrill of the unknown. CD Projekt Red has a well-earned reputation for crafting deep, surprising, and emotionally resonant narratives. Whether these predictions are spot-on or wildly off the mark, one thing is certain: the next chapter in The Witcher saga is one of the most highly anticipated events in gaming history, and the speculation is half the fun. The board is set, the pieces are in place, and now, we wait for the game to begin.